Sunday, 15 February 2015

Weekly Trends - S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil, EURUSD, KOSPI, RTSI

This weekly Trend Analysis table uses a proprietary algorithm to identify trend direction, strength of trend, & entry/exit signals. It also indicates key support/ resistance levels based on traditional technical analysis.

Last weekend it was mentioned in this weekly report that some major trend reversals are forming, and the week did saw upward movements in gold, crude oil, and EURUSD. There are increasing possibilities of end of their long term downtrend. As mentioned earlier, Russian index RTSI has also bounced riding on crude and S&P 500 has maintained its uptrend.

GOLD
PCP
1226.50
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1200
TREND
Down
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1220
POSITION
Near swing bottom
R1
1240
REMARK
May consolidate between 1150 - 1300. Its short term downtrend is weakening. Investors may accumulate on dips.
R2
1265
CRUDE
PCP
52.78
ACTION
Hold long
S2
47
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
50
POSITION
Long duration charts are indicating a bottom
R1
57
REMARK
Long term trend is still down though it is weakening. Crude is in short term uptrend and if it sustains above 57 then a major uptrend may be considered. Avoid shorts.
R2
61
S&P500
PCP
2096.99
ACTION
Hold long
S2
2065
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
High
S1
2090
POSITION
Mid cycle
R1
2115
REMARK
Avoid short selling
R2
2145
KOSPI
PCP
1957.50
ACTION
Buy on dip
S2
1922
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1950
POSITION
Near short term top, long term bottom
R1
1963
REMARK
Long term downtrend is weakening and last month's low of 1876 may be bottom for this swing. Prefer buying on dips near 1950.
R2
1990
RTSI
PCP
914.05
ACTION
Buy
S2
830
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Medium
S2
893
POSITION
Near long term bottom, rising in short term
R1
1000
REMARK
Long term down trend is approaching a bottom. Trend is up in short term. Avoid shorts.
R2
1100
EURUSD
PCP
1.1385
ACTION
Buy
S2
1.100
TREND
Down trending
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1.126
POSITION
Near long term bottom
R1
1.145
REMARK
Long term trend is down. An uptrend may form as 1.12 is a multi years support. Traders avoid heavy short positions.
R2
1.167
Abbreviations used -
  • PCP = Previous closing price
  • S2 = Second support, S1 = First support
  • R1 = First resistance, R2 = Second resistance

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