Sunday, 22 February 2015

Weekly Trends: Commodities still above long term support, equities bullish

Gold, crude oil, and EURUSD are still above their long term support with indications of bottom formation. Russian RTSI has managed to hold despite a fall in crude oil. There was little upward movement in KOSPI as the Korean markets had a shortened week. S&P 500 has maintained its uptrend.
This weekly Trend Analysis table uses a proprietary algorithm to identify trend direction, strength of trend, & entry/exit signals. It also indicates key support/ resistance levels based on traditional technical analysis.
GOLD
PCP
1204.40
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1150
TREND
Down
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1200
POSITION
Near swing bottom
R1
1220
REMARK
May consolidate between 1150 - 1300. Its short term downtrend is weakening. Investors may accumulate on dips.
R2
1240
CRUDE
PCP
50.34
ACTION
Hold long
S2
47
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
50
POSITION
Long duration charts are indicating a bottom
R1
57
REMARK
Long term trend is still down though it is weakening. Crude is in short term uptrend and if it sustains above 57 then a major uptrend may be considered. Avoid positional shorts.
R2
61
S&P500
PCP
2110.3
ACTION
Hold long
S2
2065
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
High
S1
2090
POSITION
Approaching cycle top
R1
2115
REMARK
Avoid short selling
R2
2145
KOSPI
PCP
1961.45
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1922
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1950
POSITION
Near short term top, long term bottom
R1
1963
REMARK
Long term downtrend is weakening and last month's low of 1876 may be bottom for this swing. Prefer buying on dips near 1950.
R2
1990
RTSI
PCP
910.42
ACTION
Hold long
S2
830
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Medium
S2
893
POSITION
Near long term bottom, rising in short term
R1
1000
REMARK
Long term down trend is approaching a bottom. Trend is up in short term. Avoid shorts.
R2
1100
EURUSD
PCP
1.1381
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1.100
TREND
Down trending
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1.126
POSITION
Near long term bottom
R1
1.145
REMARK
Long term trend is down. An uptrend may form as 1.12 is a multi years support. Traders avoid heavy short positions.
R2
1.167
Abbreviations used -
  • PCP = Previous closing price
  • S2 = Second support, S1 = First support
  • R1 = First resistance, R2 = Second resistance

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