Sunday 1 March 2015

Weekly Trends & Signals: S&P 500, Gold, Crude Oil, EURUSD, KOSPI, RTSI

Gold, crude oil, and EURUSD are still above their long term support with indications of bottom formation. Russian RTSI is expected to move up in tandem with crude oil. KOSPI has moved up but caution is advised. S&P 500 has broken a crucial support at top and up trend looks exhausted.
This weekly Trend Analysis table uses a proprietary algorithm to identify trend direction, strength of trend, & entry/exit signals. It also indicates key support/ resistance levels based on traditional technical analysis.
GOLD
PCP
1213.10
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1150
TREND
Down
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1200
POSITION
Near swing bottom
R1
1220
REMARK
May consolidate between 1150 - 1300. Its short term downtrend is weakening. Investors may accumulate on dips.
R2
1240
CRUDE
PCP
49.76
ACTION
Hold long
S2
44
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
47
POSITION
Long duration charts are indicating a bottom
R1
52
REMARK
Long term trend is still down though it is weakening. Crude is in short term uptrend and if it sustains above 57 then a major uptrend may be considered. Avoid positional shorts.
R2
57
S&P500
PCP
2104.5
ACTION
Exit long
S2
2065
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
2090
POSITION
Approaching cycle top
R1
2115
REMARK
Up trend weakness is indicated
R2
2145
KOSPI
PCP
1985.80
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1963
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1980
POSITION
Near short term top, long term bottom
R1
1995
REMARK
Long term downtrend is weakening and last month's low of 1876 may be bottom for this swing.
R2
2010
RTSI
PCP
896.63
ACTION
Hold long
S2
830
TREND
Up
STRENGTH
Medium
S2
893
POSITION
Near long term bottom, rising in short term
R1
1000
REMARK
Long term down trend is approaching a bottom. Trend is up in short term. Avoid shorts.
R2
1100
EURUSD
PCP
1.1194
ACTION
Hold long
S2
1.100
TREND
Down trending
STRENGTH
Low
S1
1.110
POSITION
Near long term bottom
R1
1.145
REMARK
Long term trend is down. An uptrend may form as 1.12 is a multi years support. Traders avoid heavy short positions.
R2
1.167
Abbreviations used -
  • PCP = Previous closing price
  • S2 = Second support, S1 = First support
  • R1 = First resistance, R2 = Second resistance

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